TORONTO, ON - July 06, 2016 /CNW/ - The United Kingdom's decision to leave the European Union represents a major economic shock to the U.K. and Europe. It will lower business and household confidence in the U.K. and Europe, while also potentially fanning the flames of referenda in other countries given the electoral cycle in Europe. Despite the importance of the shock to Europe, it is expected that the impact beyond its borders will be relatively contained, as the United States, China and India remain on reasonably solid footing. On balance, our global growth forecast has been marked down from 3.1% to 3.0% in 2016, and from 3.5% to 3.3% in 2017.
"Scotiabank's global economics team offers perspectives on the global outlook from their respective positions on the ground to provide a fulsome view of the impact of Brexit and other factors that will influence the global economy into 2017," said Jean-François Perrault, Senior Vice President and Chief Economist at Scotiabank. "We see the most immediate impact of Brexit has been felt in financial markets, with some currencies and government bond yields adjusting rapidly to increased uncertainty and the potential economic consequences."
Highlights of Scotiabank's Global Outlook include:
The economic impact of Brexit will be focused on the U.K. and Europe and should trigger a reduction in investment and household spending in both economies, with the impact expected to be more pronounced in the U.K. Despite these major revisions to prospects across the Atlantic, the real economic impacts on the rest of the world should be muted.
Watch a video of Jean-François Perrault discussing Scotiabank's Global Outlook here: https://youtu.be/0DndTCLJl8I
Read Scotiabank's Global Outlook online at: http://www.scotiabank.com/ca/en/0,,3112,00.html
Scotiabank provides clients with in-depth research into the factors shaping the outlook for Canada and the global economy, including macroeconomic developments, currency and capital market trends, commodity and industry performance, as well as monetary, fiscal and public policy issues.
About Scotiabank
Scotiabank is Canada's international bank and a leading financial services provider in North America, Latin America, the Caribbean and Central America, and Asia-Pacific. We are dedicated to helping our 23 million customers become better off through a broad range of advice, products and services, including personal and commercial banking, wealth management and private banking, corporate and investment banking, and capital markets. With a team of more than 89,000 employees and assets of $895 billion (as at April 30, 2016), Scotiabank trades on the Toronto (
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